23 June 2026 2 min read
hope-for-the-best-prepare-for-the-worst

“Do not think there are no crocodiles just because the water is calm.”

“A flower falls, even though we love it; and a weed grows, even though we do not love it.” — Dogen


Hope for the best, prepare for the worst, and take whatever comes your way.


Do favors for tomorrow you. Set yourself up for success. Create a condition that is impossible to fail for yourself. Put yourself in the best position possible! So that Tomorrow/Future You can play easy mode effortlessly


憂患意識


未雨綢繆:用最壞的打算,做最好的準備


The Stockdale Paradox

  • The ability to hold two minds at once:
    1. An unwavering faith in your ability to prevail
    2. A clear-eyed recognition of the harsh reality of the present
  • 一方面對於前途保持堅定的信心,另一方面以務實和實際的態度認清殘酷的現實
  • 相信自己能夠在未來實現某個目標,同時抱持謙虛的態度,質疑自己現在的方法是否得當

Rational Optimists

自信的謙虛 (Confident Humility) — 不是自大,而是自信 (Be Confident, But Humble)


Premortem


The Cut Crystal Glass


Optimism

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